Story Published:
Oct 12, 2004 at 2:10 AM PDT
Story Updated:
Aug 31, 2006 at 1:35 AM PDT
MT. ST. HELENS - New thermal images reveal that
parts of the lava dome in Mount St. Helens' crater are piping hot,
and scientists are seeing signs that magma continues to rise.
Scientists said an area on the south side of the old dome, where
a large uplift of rock has been growing, now appears perforated as
if magma has been hammering at the surface.
"What's happened in the last day is the magma is not just
pushing up but pushing out. We no longer have just isolated vents,
instead the whole area is pushing up, the gas is the fuse, just
oozing out," John Pallister, a U.S. Geological Survey geologist,
said at a news conference Monday afternoon. He said scientists have
not actually seen the magma, which they believe is less than half a
mile below the surface.
Fast-moving magma would cause greater concern because explosive
gases wouldn't have time to dissipate. A team in Denver is
evaluating air photos, comparing pictures of the changing lava dome
to gauge how fast the magma is rising.
"Rapid assent is very dangerous, whereas if it rises slowly the
magma has a chance to degas and then it would just ease its way
out," Pallister said.
The alert level remains at "volcano advisory," but scientists
have said an eruption could occur with very little warning.
Pallister said the most likely scenario remains an explosion
with a few inches of ash spreading out within a 10-mile radius of
the crater. Such an event could happen in days, weeks or months -
or not at all, he said. Scientists believe the chance of a larger
eruption like the one on May 18, 1980, which killed 57 people, is
slim.
"I'm a fairly conservative guy, and I don't like a one in 10
chance," Pallister said.
Any eruption would likely be vertical instead of the devastating
horizontal blast that leveled old-growth trees for miles around in
1980.
Willie Scott, a U.S. Geological Survey geologist, said earlier
Monday that temperatures in some spots could be as high as 200 to
300 degrees Celsius - roughly 400 to 570 degrees Fahrenheit.
Readings taken during a Sunday flight over the volcano went off
the charts, said Jeff Wynn, chief scientist for volcano hazards at
the USGS's Cascades Volcano Observatory
Scientists couldn't get precise temperatures for the hottest
parts of the lava dome - on the south side - because the
instruments weren't calibrated high enough, Wynn said.
"They didn't expect it to get that hot," Wynn told The
Associated Press.
Scientists planned to fly over the 8,364-foot volcano again
Monday to get precise temperature readings, Wynn said.
The mountain gave off more steam Monday, with a cloud slowly
drifting up hundreds of feet from the rim of crater as the run
rose, much like Sunday's emission.
"The steam plume is essentially a constant feature that will be
there for days to come," Scott said.
Seismic activity remained relatively low, he said.
For more than a week, the restless mountain has sent steam,
sometimes mixed with ash, venting from bulge of rock on the south
side of the lava dome that's risen to at least 330 feet since
scientists first spotted it Sept. 30.
Scientists believe Sunday's steam emission happened when part of
the swelling on the south side of the dome broke off, taking some
of the glacier with it. The ice melted, the water seeped down and
that most likely caused the steam, Pallister said.
In addition to spotting rising temperatures, scientists have
detected an increase in emissions of carbon dioxide and sulfur
dioxide, another sign that magma is rising.
During a flight last Thursday, instruments measured the mountain
emitting about 2,000 tons a day of carbon dioxide - up from 100
tons a day earlier this month - and roughly 100 tons of sulfur
dioxide, Scott said.
While significant, Scott said both of those readings much lower
than ones taken during some of the early 1980 eruptions.
Thousands of small earthquakes have shaken the peak in the
Cascade Range since Sept. 23. The volcano spewed clouds of steam
mixed with small amounts of old volcanic ash each day from Oct. 1
through Oct. 5.
The alert level was lowered Oct. 6. The downgrade indicated the
probability of a life-threatening eruption had decreased
significantly since Oct. 2, when thousands of people were evacuated
from areas around the mountain.
For More Information:
St. Helens Info -- vulcan.wr.usgs.gov.
Live Web Camera Of Mt. St. Helens -- www.fs.fed.us
UW Real-Time Seismology Graphs Of Mt. St. Helens -- www.pnsn.org
What To Do In Case Of Ash Fall -- vulcan.wr.usgs.gov