July 4, 2008
- Seattle, Washington
Weather Blog
With the hours upon hours of thunderstorms out there, which is exceedingly rare around western Washington, this is a good time to go over some frequently asked questions we get about these rascals: 1a) What's the criteria? Officially, the National Weather Service declares that a thunderstorm is severe if the storm produces strong winds in excess of 58 mph or if there is hail that is 3/4 of an inch or larger. (Technically, it's also "severe" if it produces a tornado, but then it would be a Tornado Warning and not a Severe Thunderstorm Warning.) Note that the frequency of lightning nor the intensity of the rain is a factor. You can have very frequent lightning and torrential downpours, and it still might not meet the criteria. The trigger here for the warnings of the past 24 hours has been the size of hail. However, since severe weather is rare here, the local NWS office can use lower criteria to issue the warnings -- most reports have had hail at about 1/2" in diameter -- still very large for this area. 2) What's the difference between a Severe Thunderstorm Watch and a Severe Thunderstorm warning? A "Watch" means conditions are possible. A "Warning" means conditions are occurring or imminent. I can't ever remember a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for Western Washington -- those are issued by the Severe Storms Laboratory in Norman, Oklahoma while warnings are issued by the local weather service office. They might be sticking to official criteria and thus, could explain why no watch is in effect now as hail is not expected to reach 3/4 of an inch in diameter. 3) What Causes Lightning? It's still not quite fully understood and is incredibly complex, but one main theory goes that as water droplets move about inside some clouds, they can build up an electric charge -- much like how if you wear socks on a carpet, you build up a charge. The negatively charged particles tend to conglomerate at the bottom of a cloud, while the positively charged ones are at the top. As the storm intensifies and more negative charges build at the base, it can actually push the negatively charged particles on the Earth's surface further into the ground (since similar charges repel each other) leaving mainly positive charges along the surface. Then, a conductive path will be generated between the negative cloud and positive Earth, allowing a huge electrical current to flow between the two charges. That's what we see as lightning. 4) Why are strong thunderstorms rare around here? To get strong thunderstorms, you need to get unstable air. Explaining unstable air without using really crazy charts is difficult, but in a nutshell, unstable air means that atmospheric conditions are such that it is easier for parcels of warm air to rise higher into the sky, which is more conducive to cloud and storm development. Unstable air can occur when you have cold air moving in the upper layers -- that is our most common unstable air occurrence. That's typical when a storm moves through in the spring or fall and chilly air moves in behind it, and is the trigger for those days after a solid rain where it rains for 20 minutes, then we get blazing sunshine. But today, it's a warm, humid air mass moving through that has us unstable -- and this is more typical of storms in the Midwest and East Coast. It's rare here because it's difficult to get both warm and humid here. Either we have a cool, marine flow off the ocean -- which is actually very stable because that cool air keeps the temperatures difference small. When we get hot, it's a dry east wind and we don't get much of any moisture to even begin to form any cells. But this week, it's been a southerly flow. That allows us to tap into some warm, tropical moisture to the south. We don't get the cool, stabilizing influence off the ocean, and we don't get the drying effect of an east wind. The south wind will also then use the mountains in Oregon and Washington as a ramp, helping launch that air skyward and trigger or enhance thunderstorms. A southerly wind doesn't mean widespread storms -- note that we've generally been in this pattern all week. But starting last night we had an area of low pressure draw closer to the coast, which added additional lift and more moisture and basically added tons of fuel to the fire. I'll add more here as I come up with them or you, the reader, ask them :)
A new study out by a Dutch climatologist says that the heat waves of the 22nd Century will put heat waves as we know it to shame. Seattle's all time record high is 100 degrees, set once at Sea-Tac Airport in 1994 and twice before at the Downtown Federal Building in the early 1900s. Could 105 be the norm here then?
Here is the full article by Associated Press Science Writer Seth Borenstein: Read more »
OK, not quite, but Jean Falconer in Sequim captured this photo of Venus near a crescent moon that she thought gave it the appearance of a solitaire ring. This is from a while ago, but Venus is in the night sky again and when it's near the new moon, sometimes you might get the alignment of the moon and Venus just right to give it this neat ring effect.
I just ran through my favorite star tracking software: www.skyviewcafe.com and it appears this might be the case again Wednesday, July 2. It might still be too bright with the late sunset, but try looking in the western sky around 9:40 p.m. and find Venus and there might be just a sliver moon there as well. Read more »
What a difference a heat wave makes.
On June 15th, our average high temperature for the month so far was in the 59 degree range and we were on pace to obliterate the record for coldest June ever. And then came the heat. The last two weeks of June were nothing like the start, and in doing so, we went from possibly coldest June ever to barely registering in the top 10. Read more »
Readers from around Western Washington captured the sights and sounds of a lightning storm that moved through the area Sunday night: Read more »
Wow, what a scorcher. Despite all the press about a gloomy spring, Seattle is now over its quota for 90 degree days in a year, and we haven't even hit July yet! (Seattle averages 2 days a 90+ and Sunday's 92 was our third.)
For those keeping score at home, or were too busy out at the beach or on the links to have checked in, here are the high temperatures reached this weekend: (Note Hoquiam -- big cool down Sunday and 30 degrees cooler than Seattle!) Read more »
And to think, 10 days ago we were setting a record for most consecutive days under 65 degrees in June. By Sunday, it might stay warmer than 65 from start to finish!
Our first true heat wave of the year is upon us (not counting the 90 degree day we had in May, which was one day and done) as temperatures are expected to soar to near-record levels. High pressure is in command overall, and a weak thermal trough is developing from the south and will move into the area beginning Friday night hand hanging around through the weekend. Highs will reach the mid-upper 80s for the greater Seattle area, but spots south and east might get into the 90s. Read more »
Talk about a wild shift in weather -- look at what happened in Tucson, Arizona on Thursday:
A 1 p.m., the weather station at the Arizona-Sonora Desert Museum (about 10 miles west of the city) said it was 100 degrees outside. But get this: The surface ground temperature was 144 -- according to the National Egg Board, that is just hot enough to officially fry an egg. An hour later, some clouds moved over and the temperature dropped to 98 degrees. And then, the sky opened up. Read more » ![]() Ever wondered what 700 wildfires looked like from space? Here's an idea. NASA sent out this satellite photo of the several hundred wildfires burning across California. Read more »
We've been getting several reports Wednesday afternoon of "rainbows in the sky" or clouds that are brilliant colors.
It's due to those high, wispy clouds that are around today. Those clouds are made of tiny ice crystals, and if the cloud is at the right angle to the sun, the crystals will refract the sunlight (much like a prism) into the colors of the rainbow. So it's very similar to a regular rainbow-when-it's-raining, only a little more rare. Read more »
On a clear night....
For the first time in weeks (months?) the weather is finally starting to clear at night -- especially by the end of the week. What better time to grab a telescope and take a peek skyward? I did an earlier blog report on a cool way to find out exactly how clear it's expected to be, but how about finding some fun things to spot? Read more » |
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Originally from Port Angeles, Scott graduated from the UW in 1994 with a degree in Atmospheric Sciences and has been producing weather reports for broadcast and on the Web ever since.
